Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Boston Red Sox (48-40) take on the New York Yankees (55-36) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2

The Red Sox snapped a 5-game winning streak with a 14-4 loss to the Yanks Saturday. 3B Rafael Devers was one of the few productive Red Sox hitters with 2 of the clubs’ 4 hits, including his 19th homer of the season. After a 28-29 start, the Red Sox are 20-11 over their last 31 games.

1B Ben Rice became the first Yankees rookie to hit 3 homers in a game Saturday. He had 7 RBIs in a game to remember. The win snapped a 4-game losing streak for the Yanks, who are 2nd in the majors with 5.10 runs per game. Their pitching has been supporting them, too, with the 6th-best ERA at 3.59.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Luis Gil

Crawford (4-7, 3.47 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 98 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 8-3 victory at Miami Marlins Tuesday
• Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-0, 2.60 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 32 K

Gil (9-4, 3.41 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 89 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 5-4 home setback vs. Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
• Has allowed 16 ER in 9 2/3 IP in last 3 starts (14.90 ERA)
• Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0. 0.93 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 10 K in 2 starts

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Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:39 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

I like the Red Sox here because Crawford has been more reliable than Gil. Crawford is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in his last 3 starts, and he has 7+ K’s in 4 straight.

Meanwhile Gil has been all over the place with 2+ walks in 4 straight and 6 of 7.

For the value, BET RED SOX (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

As mentioned, Crawford has 7+ K’s in 4 straight starts. He has 7+ K’s in his last 2 starts against the Yankees as well.

TAKE KUTTER CRAWFORD OVER 5.5 K’S (+105) at plus-money!

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Over/Under

Both teams are 8-1-1 O/U over their last 10. The Over is 5-3-2 in the last 10 meetings as well. It’s slated to be an 85-degree evening with a light, 5-mph breeze from right to left.

With the way these teams are mashing the ball, BACK OVER 8.5 (-115).

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